QUOTE
Big Storm will Take Shape!
Monday, October 23, 2006
I expect a major storm to affect parts of eastern Canada Friday and into the weekend. The storm is going to form over the southern U.S. Plains Wednesday. Initially, this storm will have little moisture available to it, then it will begin to tap into some of the moisture being thrown up into Texas late Wednesday from the remains of Hurricane Paul, which is now not too far south of the Baja Peninsula of Mexico. Long range models are still at odd on the timing and track of the storm, but most agree that this one will be a strong one as it approaches the lower Great Lakes region Friday. Here is a breakdown of what I think may happen with this storm.
1. Steady rain will spread into southwestern Ontario later Thursday and Thursday night. If the precipitation shield gets up into the Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, North Bay region Thursday night it will be in the form of snow.
2. The fully mature storm should track across Ohio Friday, while the steadier rain spreads across eastern Ontario and southwestern Quebec. Well north of the actual storm, I believe there can be a nice swath of moderate snow. At this point in time, I feel an area from Parry Sound, Ontario to Pembroke, Ontario and then up into Sudbury and North Bay, Ontario stands the best chance for an early season snowstorm if this inital storm remains the dominant storm, as it tracks up into upstate New York Saturday morning. But, the overall North American pattern with the blocking southwest of Greenland favors a secondary storm to rapidly form over eastern New England Friday night, which would slowly steal the energy and moisture from the inital storm, causing the snow to become much lighter over central Ontario late Friday and Friday night, and shifting the band of moderate to heavy, wet snow into the Ottawa and Montreal region and points north! If the secondary storm does indeed form over eastern New England, it should track up toward the Gaspe Peninsula by late Saturday. This track would bring a heavy, windswept rain to the Maritimes Friday night and into early Saturday. Behind this storm, it will turn windy with widespread snow showers over Ontario and western Quebec Saturday night and Sunday.
Monday, October 23, 2006
I expect a major storm to affect parts of eastern Canada Friday and into the weekend. The storm is going to form over the southern U.S. Plains Wednesday. Initially, this storm will have little moisture available to it, then it will begin to tap into some of the moisture being thrown up into Texas late Wednesday from the remains of Hurricane Paul, which is now not too far south of the Baja Peninsula of Mexico. Long range models are still at odd on the timing and track of the storm, but most agree that this one will be a strong one as it approaches the lower Great Lakes region Friday. Here is a breakdown of what I think may happen with this storm.
1. Steady rain will spread into southwestern Ontario later Thursday and Thursday night. If the precipitation shield gets up into the Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, North Bay region Thursday night it will be in the form of snow.
2. The fully mature storm should track across Ohio Friday, while the steadier rain spreads across eastern Ontario and southwestern Quebec. Well north of the actual storm, I believe there can be a nice swath of moderate snow. At this point in time, I feel an area from Parry Sound, Ontario to Pembroke, Ontario and then up into Sudbury and North Bay, Ontario stands the best chance for an early season snowstorm if this inital storm remains the dominant storm, as it tracks up into upstate New York Saturday morning. But, the overall North American pattern with the blocking southwest of Greenland favors a secondary storm to rapidly form over eastern New England Friday night, which would slowly steal the energy and moisture from the inital storm, causing the snow to become much lighter over central Ontario late Friday and Friday night, and shifting the band of moderate to heavy, wet snow into the Ottawa and Montreal region and points north! If the secondary storm does indeed form over eastern New England, it should track up toward the Gaspe Peninsula by late Saturday. This track would bring a heavy, windswept rain to the Maritimes Friday night and into early Saturday. Behind this storm, it will turn windy with widespread snow showers over Ontario and western Quebec Saturday night and Sunday.
I bet it will snow
why you ask
I still have my sled apart awaiting track, shocks rebuild and suspension back together :frech32:
Oh well still early and it won't stick but hey its snow eh :div20:
so I will not be sledding if we get some